Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.280669 0.326708 0.378034 0.439520 0.511218 0.592238 0.690822
2025-02-09 0.212216 0.274095 0.350631 0.452388 0.584369 0.750109 0.974624
2025-02-16 0.173305 0.240307 0.329278 0.456338 0.633662 0.873168 1.222658
2025-02-23 0.144953 0.212911 0.308508 0.453222 0.667625 0.974989 1.451726
2025-03-02 0.121295 0.187198 0.284619 0.439688 0.681605 1.046749 1.643891
2025-03-09 0.109138 0.176105 0.279618 0.452024 0.733832 1.179497 1.944177
2025-03-16 0.096986 0.162940 0.269096 0.453337 0.767549 1.286026 2.215512
2025-03-23 0.088301 0.153995 0.263776 0.461733 0.812924 1.415798 2.541696
2025-03-30 0.078115 0.141012 0.249825 0.453102 0.827156 1.493272 2.785460
2025-04-06 0.070154 0.130826 0.239272 0.448747 0.847758 1.583417 3.062855
2025-04-13 0.064029 0.123147 0.232148 0.449492 0.877351 1.692749 3.389955
2025-04-20 0.061209 0.121294 0.235459 0.470231 0.947409 1.886535 3.907868
2025-04-27 0.058374 0.119196 0.238301 0.490941 1.021217 2.099214 4.499179
2025-05-04 0.054986 0.115585 0.237774 0.504872 1.083280 2.296769 5.088756
2025-05-11 0.051021 0.110253 0.233056 0.509301 1.125612 2.458108 5.621906
2025-05-18 0.046782 0.103794 0.225178 0.505815 1.150042 2.583618 6.091728
2025-05-25 0.042060 0.095686 0.212785 0.490682 1.146203 2.645601 6.422187
2025-06-01 0.040075 0.093485 0.213096 0.504476 1.210788 2.871548 7.177517
2025-06-08 0.037375 0.089297 0.208418 0.505944 1.246208 3.033381 7.797618
2025-06-15 0.035454 0.086713 0.207125 0.515333 1.302037 3.251216 8.591140
2025-06-22 0.032521 0.081321 0.198554 0.505681 1.308887 3.348588 9.083522
2025-06-29 0.030148 0.077041 0.192191 0.500811 1.327376 3.477786 9.680346
2025-07-06 0.028298 0.073872 0.188222 0.501645 1.360995 3.650631 10.423227